Confidence in the projected impacts of climate change on agricultural systems has increased substantially since the first intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc reports. South africa is likely to experience higher temperatures and less rainfall as a result of climate change. West africa has been identified as a climatechange hotspot, with climate change likely to lessen crop yields and production, with resultant impacts on food security. Social effect of climate change on agriculture while agriculture as an industry in south africa is expected to produce loses the small scale, subsistencebased farms in the rural regions of the country can be expected to take an even larger hit. The changing climate will be a wakeup call to our decisionmakers. These include flooding, drought, sealevel rise in estuaries, drying up of rivers. Statistics was used to determine climate variability and change impact on agricultural production.
A critical and perhaps the dominant global environmental problem in the last three decades is global warming, resulting from global climate change scholz and hasse, 2008. Impact of climate change on primary agriculture, water. Climate change impact on agriculture and costs of adaptation international food policy research institute washington, d. Abstract the repercussions of climate change will be felt in various ways throughout both natural and human systems in subsaharan africa.
Cigi and the south african institute of international af. Country fact sheet 3 water resources climate change could reduce water availability in the country, which will have several impacts on agriculture. This diagram displays some of the negative effects of climate change on the agriculture industry. Exploring the impact of climate change on children in. Climate change and adaptation in african agriculture 4 local climate change adaptation platforms have been proposed by a number of development agencies, as a means of promoting collaboration between. Climate change projections for this region point to a warming trend, particularly in the inland subtropics. Agriculture and climate change are inextricably linkedcrop yield, biodiversity, and water use, as well as soil health are directly affected by a changing climate. Pdf climate change and agricultural production in south. S rural areas jane turpie1,2 and martine visser2 africa is likely to be the continent most vulnerable to climate change. Pdf impacts of climate change on water resources in. The effect of climate on agriculture is related to variabilities in local climates rather than in global climate patterns.
The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in. Wits sociologist dr jacklyn cock states that the same patterns of. A study has matched future climate change hotspots with regions already suffering chronic food problems to identify highly vulnerable populations, chiefly in africa and south asia, but potentially in. It opens a vast array of business opportunities to visionary and innovative entrepreneurs, and with the correct framing, climate change. Review of climate change and its effect on nigeria ecosystem olaniyi o.
What climate change means for agriculture in africa one. The effects of climate change on agriculture and food. How climate change will affect african farmers one. It is part of a larger study on the effect of climate change on agriculture coordinated by the centre for environmental economics and policy in africa. The effects of climate change on agriculture and food security in africa. South africa has a welldeveloped earth system science research program that underpins the climate change scenarios developed for the southern african region. Subsaharan africas experiences section presents the impacts of climate changes on agriculture and food security in various african countries. A comprehensive analysis examines the food security threats facing eight of the countries that make up southern africa botswana, lesotho, malawi. Climate change impacts and adaptation in south africa.
The vulnerability of south africa s agriculture sector to climate, and the potential impacts of climate change on components of the sector, form the backdrop in this handbook on assessing what to adapt to, and how to adapt. This is because most of south africas land is arid desert, so water must be brought in by irrigation. Atlas of climate change and the south african agricultural sector. This report attempts to predict how plant biodiversity in south africa will be affected, given climate change scenarios generated by three general circulation models. The impact of climate change on livelihoods in south western zimbabwe. By 2002, that had doubled to a third of the countrys population. South africas response to climate change was presented. Volatile weather is a hallmark of climate change, and it can manifest in any number of ways droughts, floods, severe storms, heat waves, cold snaps, frosts. Climate change is hitting african farmers the hardest of all. In africa, much work has gone into downscaling global climate models to understand regional impacts, but there remains a dearth of local level understanding of impacts and communities capacity to adapt. It is one of a series of 21 synthesis and assessment products being. Impacts and adaptation options, centre for environmental economics and policy in africa ceepa, discussion paper no 21, university of pretoria, pretoria, south africa. Such climate change may influence agriculture in a positive way co 2 fertilisation, lengthening of growing seasons, more rainfall or negative way more drought, faster growth thus. United nations fact sheet on climate change africa is.
Already experiencing temperature increases of approximately 0. Climate change is having a multitude of immediate and longterm impacts on water resources in african countries. The impact of climate change on food security in south. Rain is coming, and her oneacre farm in magulilwa, tanzania. The atlas is presently being used to inform the development of the climate change adaptation and mitigation plan for the. Since the 2006 saeo, local and global research has advanced its understanding of the projected impacts of. Full technical report on the implications of climate. This paper was funded by the gef and the world bank. Climate change and agriculture are interrelated processes. Africa is the continent most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Results indicate that farmers are aware that limpopo province is getting warmer and drier with increased frequency of droughts, changes in the timing of rains, observed trends of temperature and precipitation. Every year has its own challenges, but thanks to climate change, farmers are now facing greater difficulties from three main threats. O3 1,3 joseph ayo babalola university, ikeji, arakeji, osun state 2 adeyemi college. The effects of climate change on agriculture, land.
The impact of climate change on south africa jenny griffin, south africa original post. Also, this climate change will cause weather to become more unpredictable which will lead to irregular. Cline droughtaffected corn in southwestern zimbabwe. Agriculture in south africa is an industry as diverse as its landscape. South africa is faced with a difficult challenge in trying to juggle three imperatives development conventionally based on fossil fuels, poverty eradication and climate change. Declaration i hereby declare that the study titled the impact of climate change on the agricultural crop production in the vhembe district municipality, limpopo, south. Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in sub. Climate change, food security, and livelihoods in subsaharan africa. What climate change means for agriculture in africa upendo malata eyes the dark gray clouds gathering overhead with a feeling of anticipation. Resulting changes in regional water endowments and soil moisture will affect the productivity of. In 1995, 16 percent of south africans lived on less than a dollar a day. Without climate change and other policy interventions, the number of malnourished children in africa will likely increase from 33 million to 42 million. This report is an assessment of the effects of climate change on u. Climate change impacts on agriculture across africa.